Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 10.788502 12.647389 14.682010 17.067826 19.781990 22.766656 26.290007
2025-06-29 7.358940 9.779461 12.716082 16.509654 21.245525 26.925280 34.210830
2025-07-06 5.315797 7.832710 11.151715 15.779230 21.983194 29.922831 40.745792
2025-07-13 4.529363 7.251247 11.085593 16.757567 24.785210 35.568493 50.938457
2025-07-20 3.921476 6.759110 10.995508 17.591007 27.365646 41.038998 61.260636
2025-07-27 3.378374 6.239068 10.745412 18.095416 29.447639 45.908507 71.052142
2025-08-03 2.869490 5.665750 10.303188 18.207031 30.893997 49.909331 79.824198
2025-08-10 2.376893 5.019150 9.631075 17.837521 31.510318 52.662735 86.883455
2025-08-17 1.960808 4.425612 8.949055 17.340669 31.828823 54.924242 93.281141
2025-08-24 1.613066 3.890838 8.283148 16.769100 31.930982 56.800319 99.139933
2025-08-31 1.306174 3.373173 7.564648 15.999075 31.589704 57.889197 103.757934
2025-09-07 1.172255 3.200452 7.483456 16.386210 33.289359 62.434658 114.228814
2025-09-14 1.011520 2.950960 7.247343 16.522395 34.686042 66.801344 125.105197
2025-09-21 0.831273 2.614691 6.783310 16.167579 35.178514 69.720446 133.888763
2025-09-28 0.661428 2.255951 6.201620 15.482222 34.953913 71.334876 140.519270
2025-10-05 0.618981 2.233171 6.386648 16.450583 38.067977 79.215185 158.682757
2025-10-12 0.571953 2.184646 6.500530 17.271923 40.952411 86.855849 176.858204
2025-10-19 0.514090 2.086904 6.474415 17.768616 43.203754 93.443739 193.486431
2025-10-26 0.447201 1.939862 6.294133 17.878520 44.639705 98.551976 207.658136
2025-11-02 0.372749 1.741867 5.938626 17.514799 45.006378 101.580561 218.077255
2025-11-09 0.306558 1.548702 5.556226 17.025750 45.035754 103.920103 227.290880
2025-11-16 0.249561 1.367450 5.168815 16.463193 44.830742 105.749734 235.593431
2025-11-23 0.197948 1.184687 4.734186 15.705375 44.081909 106.381062 241.539338